PublicIn the end,
a fairly comfortable win by the Greens, with Reform just pipping Labour to second and the Tories and Lib Dems nowhere near saving their deposits. Social media is full of "hot takes" from pretty much all sides, so let's see if I can put together my "lukewarm take" that isn't likely to please anybody!
1. I am glad Reform didn't win. I think they are deeply unpleasant and divisive, and too many of their politicians are more or less openly Trumpist in their views. Stopping Reform would have been my number one priority had I been a voter there.
2. I am not especially keen on the new, urban wing of the Greens. They seem to be prioritising Corbynite left-wing policies rather than their traditional environmentalism, and Corbynite policies are not always appealing to me.
3. Labour are now in a real bind. I'm pleased they've been shown that trying to ape Reform isn't necessarily a vote-winner, but can they get back to being the kind of balanced centre-left party I'd like and drop some of the incompetence and authoritarianism? Probably not with Starmer still there.
4. Of all the "main" parties, the Lib Dems are often closest to my views these days, but they got under 2% of the vote. Voting LD this time would have been like spoiling my paper. The same goes for the Conservatives, had I been predisposed to vote for them.
5. Reform's Trumpian rhetoric about "family voting" having "stolen" the election is unacceptable. This is one reason I wanted whoever won to do so by a clear majority, as has happened. It's clearly an excuse for failing to win over enough voters.
6. At the same time, I
do think it's a genuine issue if even a few women are being pressured to vote a certain way by their husbands. Until recently you could say, "Well, it's a secret ballot" – but with mobile phones women can now photograph their ballot papers (illegal but very hard to stop) to show that they have voted the "right" way.
7. Turnout was quite high for a by-election, only marginally down on the general. This wasn't a huge surprise to me. I think that's just the usual case of people thinking that because it was close, there was a reason to get out and vote.
8. First Past the Post is a terrible voting system, and if we see a party win a majority in 2028/9 with 25% of the vote it will become even more obvious. Yet the parties in power are too wedded to self-interest to change it, and I doubt despite current rhetoric Reform would either.
9. Labour allowing Andy Burnham to stand might have won them the seat –
might – but then they'd have had another nightmare in the form of a Manchester mayoral election, since you can't be mayor and an MP at the same time.